2020
Nava-Fernandez, C.; Hartland, A.; Gázquez, F.; Kwiecien, O.; Marwan, N.; Fox, B.; Hellstrom, J.; Pearson, A.; Ward, B.; French, A.; Hodell, D. A.; Immenhauser, A.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.
Pacific climate reflected in Waipuna Cave drip water hydrochemistry Journal Article
In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 24, pp. 3361–3380, 2020.
@article{navafernandez2020,
title = {Pacific climate reflected in Waipuna Cave drip water hydrochemistry},
author = {C. Nava-Fernandez and A. Hartland and F. Gázquez and O. Kwiecien and N. Marwan and B. Fox and J. Hellstrom and A. Pearson and B. Ward and A. French and D. A. Hodell and A. Immenhauser and S. F. M. Breitenbach},
url = {https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/24/3361/2020/},
doi = {10.5194/hess-24-3361-2020},
year = {2020},
date = {2020-07-01},
journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
volume = {24},
pages = {3361–3380},
abstract = {
Cave microclimate and geochemical monitoring is vitally important for correct interpretations of proxy time series from speleothems with regard to past climatic and environmental dynamics. We present results of a comprehensive cave-monitoring programme in Waipuna Cave in the North Island of New Zealand, a region that is strongly influenced by the Southern Westerlies and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study aims to characterise the response of the Waipuna Cave hydrological system to atmospheric circulation dynamics in the southwestern Pacific region in order to assure the quality of ongoing palaeo-environmental reconstructions from this cave.
Drip water from 10 drip sites was collected at roughly monthly intervals for a period of ca. 3 years for isotopic (δ18O, δD, d-excess parameter, δ17O, and 17Oexcess) and elemental (Mg∕Ca and Sr∕Ca) analysis. The monitoring included spot measurements of drip rates and cave air CO2 concentration. Cave air temperature and drip rates were also continuously recorded by automatic loggers. These datasets were compared to surface air temperature, rainfall, and potential evaporation from nearby meteorological stations to test the degree of signal transfer and expression of surface environmental conditions in Waipuna Cave hydrochemistry.
Based on the drip response dynamics to rainfall and other characteristics, we identified three types of discharge associated with hydrological routing in Waipuna Cave: (i) type 1 – diffuse flow, (ii) type 2 – fracture flow, and (iii) type 3 – combined flow. Drip water isotopes do not reflect seasonal variability but show higher values during severe drought. Drip water δ18O values are characterised by small variability and reflect the mean isotopic signature of precipitation, testifying to rapid and thorough homogenisation in the epikarst. Mg∕Ca and Sr∕Ca ratios in drip waters are predominantly controlled by prior calcite precipitation (PCP). Prior calcite precipitation is strongest during austral summer (December–February), reflecting drier conditions and a lack of effective infiltration, and is weakest during the wet austral winter (July–September). The Sr∕Ca ratio is particularly sensitive to ENSO conditions due to the interplay of congruent or incongruent host rock dissolution, which manifests itself in lower Sr∕Ca in above-average warmer and wetter (La Niña-like) conditions. Our microclimatic observations at Waipuna Cave provide a valuable baseline for the rigorous interpretation of speleothem proxy records aiming at reconstructing the past expression of Pacific climate modes.
},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Cave microclimate and geochemical monitoring is vitally important for correct interpretations of proxy time series from speleothems with regard to past climatic and environmental dynamics. We present results of a comprehensive cave-monitoring programme in Waipuna Cave in the North Island of New Zealand, a region that is strongly influenced by the Southern Westerlies and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study aims to characterise the response of the Waipuna Cave hydrological system to atmospheric circulation dynamics in the southwestern Pacific region in order to assure the quality of ongoing palaeo-environmental reconstructions from this cave.
Drip water from 10 drip sites was collected at roughly monthly intervals for a period of ca. 3 years for isotopic (δ18O, δD, d-excess parameter, δ17O, and 17Oexcess) and elemental (Mg∕Ca and Sr∕Ca) analysis. The monitoring included spot measurements of drip rates and cave air CO2 concentration. Cave air temperature and drip rates were also continuously recorded by automatic loggers. These datasets were compared to surface air temperature, rainfall, and potential evaporation from nearby meteorological stations to test the degree of signal transfer and expression of surface environmental conditions in Waipuna Cave hydrochemistry.
Based on the drip response dynamics to rainfall and other characteristics, we identified three types of discharge associated with hydrological routing in Waipuna Cave: (i) type 1 – diffuse flow, (ii) type 2 – fracture flow, and (iii) type 3 – combined flow. Drip water isotopes do not reflect seasonal variability but show higher values during severe drought. Drip water δ18O values are characterised by small variability and reflect the mean isotopic signature of precipitation, testifying to rapid and thorough homogenisation in the epikarst. Mg∕Ca and Sr∕Ca ratios in drip waters are predominantly controlled by prior calcite precipitation (PCP). Prior calcite precipitation is strongest during austral summer (December–February), reflecting drier conditions and a lack of effective infiltration, and is weakest during the wet austral winter (July–September). The Sr∕Ca ratio is particularly sensitive to ENSO conditions due to the interplay of congruent or incongruent host rock dissolution, which manifests itself in lower Sr∕Ca in above-average warmer and wetter (La Niña-like) conditions. Our microclimatic observations at Waipuna Cave provide a valuable baseline for the rigorous interpretation of speleothem proxy records aiming at reconstructing the past expression of Pacific climate modes.
2019
Magiera, Matthias; Lechleitner, Franziska A.; Erhardt, Andrea M.; Hartland, Adam; Kwiecien, Ola; Cheng, Hai; Bradbury, Harold J.; Turchyn, Alexandra V.; Riechelmann, Sylvia; Edwards, Lawrence; Breitenbach, Sebastian F. M.
Local and Regional Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Dynamics During Termination II and the Last Interglacial Journal Article
In: Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 46, no. 21, pp. 12454-12463, 2019.
@article{magiera2019,
title = {Local and Regional Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Dynamics During Termination II and the Last Interglacial},
author = {Matthias Magiera and Franziska A. Lechleitner and Andrea M. Erhardt and Adam Hartland and Ola Kwiecien and Hai Cheng and Harold J. Bradbury and Alexandra V. Turchyn and Sylvia Riechelmann and Lawrence Edwards and Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach},
doi = {10.1029/2019GL083721},
year = {2019},
date = {2019-10-25},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {46},
number = {21},
pages = {12454-12463},
abstract = {To date Indian summer monsoon (ISM) dynamics have been assessed by changes in stalagmite δ18O. However, stalagmite δ18O is influenced by multiple environmental factors (e.g., atmospheric moisture transport, rainfall amount at the study site, and ISM seasonality), precluding simple and clear reconstructions of rainfall amount or variability. This study aims to disentangle these environmental factors by combining δ18O, δ44Ca, and elemental data from a stalagmite covering Termination II and the last interglacial from Mawmluh Cave, NE India, to produce a semiquantitative reconstruction of past ISM rainfall. We interpret δ18O as a mixed signal of rainfall source dynamics and rainfall amount and coupled δ44Ca and X/Ca ratios as indicators of local infiltration rate and prior calcite precipitation in the karst zone. The wettest conditions in our studied interval (135 and 100 kyrs BP; BP = before present, with the present being 1950 CE) occurred during Marine Isotope Stage 5e. Our multiproxy data set suggests a likely change in seasonal distribution of Marine Isotope Stage 5e rainfall compared to the Holocene; the wet season was longer with higher‐than‐modern dry season rainfall. Using the last interglacial as an analogue for future anthropogenic warming, our data suggest a more erratic ISM behavior in a warmer world.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Heidke, Inken; Scholz, Denis; Hoffmann, Thorsten
In: Climate of the Past, vol. 15, pp. 1025–1037, 2019.
@article{heidke2019,
title = {Lignin oxidation products as a potential proxy for vegetation and environmental changes in speleothems and cave drip water – a first record from the Herbstlabyrinth, central Germany},
author = {Inken Heidke and Denis Scholz and Thorsten Hoffmann},
url = {http://quest.pik-potsdam.de/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/cp-15-1025-2019.pdf},
doi = {10.5194/cp-15-1025-2019},
year = {2019},
date = {2019-06-14},
journal = {Climate of the Past},
volume = {15},
pages = {1025–1037},
abstract = {Here, we present the first quantitative speleothem record of lignin oxidation products (LOPs), which has been determined in a Holocene stalagmite from the Herbstlabyrinth Cave in central Germany. In addition, we present LOP results from 16 months of drip water monitoring. Lignin is only produced by vascular plants and therefore has the potential to be an unambiguous vegetation proxy and to complement other vegetation and climate proxies in speleothems. We compare our results with stable isotope and trace element data from the same sample. In the stalagmite, LOP concentrations show a similar behavior to P, Ba and U concentrations, which have previously been interpreted as vegetation proxies. The LOP S∕V and C∕V ratios, which are usually used to differentiate between angiosperm and gymnosperm and woody and non-woody vegetation, show complex patterns suggesting additional influencing factors, such as transport and microbiological effects. The drip water from a fast drip site shows a seasonal pattern of LOPs with low LOP concentrations in winter and higher LOP concentrations in summer. These results indicate the potential of LOPs as a new proxy for vegetational and environmental changes in speleothems but also demonstrate the complexity and the current limitations of our understanding of the transport of lignin from the soil into the cave and the speleothems.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Plessen, B.; Waltgenbach, S.; Tjallingii, R.; Leonhardt, J.; Jochum, K. P.; Meyer, H.; Goswami, B.; Marwan, N.; Scholz, D.
Holocene interaction of maritime and continental climate in Central Europe: New speleothem evidence from Central Germany Journal Article
In: Global and Planetary Change, vol. 176, pp. 144-161, 2019.
@article{breitenbach2019,
title = {Holocene interaction of maritime and continental climate in Central Europe: New speleothem evidence from Central Germany},
author = {S. F. M. Breitenbach and B. Plessen and S. Waltgenbach and R. Tjallingii and J. Leonhardt and K. P. Jochum and H. Meyer and B. Goswami and N. Marwan and D. Scholz},
doi = {10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.03.007},
year = {2019},
date = {2019-03-14},
journal = {Global and Planetary Change},
volume = {176},
pages = {144-161},
abstract = {Central European climate is strongly influenced by North Atlantic (Westerlies) and Siberian High circulation patterns, which govern precipitation and temperature dynamics and induce heterogeneous climatic conditions, with distinct boundaries between climate zones. These climate boundaries are not stationary and shift geographically, depending on long-term atmospheric conditions. So far, little is known about past shifts of these climate boundaries and the local to regional environmental response prior to the instrumental era.
High resolution multi-proxy data (stable oxygen and carbon isotope ratios, S/Ca and Sr/Ca) from two Holocene stalagmites from Bleßberg Cave (Thuringia) are used here to differentiate local and pan-regional environmental and climatic conditions Central Germany through the Holocene. Carbon isotope and S/Ca and Sr/Ca ratios inform us on local Holocene environmental changes in and around the cave, while δ18O (when combined with independent records) serves as proxy for (pan-)regional atmospheric conditions.
The stable carbon isotope record suggests repeated changes in vegetation density (open vs. dense forest), and increasing forest cover in the late Holocene. Concurrently, decreasing S/Ca values indicate more effective sulfur retention in better developed soils, with a stabilization in the mid-Holocene. This goes in hand with changes in effective summer infiltration, reflected in the Sr/Ca profile. Highest Sr/Ca values between 4 ka and 1 ka BP indicate intensified prior calcite precipitation resulting from reduced effective moisture supply.
The region of Bleßberg Cave is sensitive to shifts of the boundary between maritime (Cfb) and continental (Dfb) climate and ideally suited to reconstruct past meridional shifts of this divide. We combined the Bleßberg Cave δ18O time series with δ18O data from Bunker Cave (western Germany) and a North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) record from lake SS1220 (SW Greenland) to reconstruct the mean position of the Cfb-Dfb climate boundary. We further estimate the dynamic interplay of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Siberian High and their influence on Central European climate. Repeated shifts of the Cfb-Dfb boundary over the last 4000 years might explain previously observed discrepancies between proxy records from Europe. Detailed correlation analyses reveal multi-centennial scale alternations of maritime and continental climate and, concurrently, waning and waxing influences of Siberian High and NAO on Central Europe.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
High resolution multi-proxy data (stable oxygen and carbon isotope ratios, S/Ca and Sr/Ca) from two Holocene stalagmites from Bleßberg Cave (Thuringia) are used here to differentiate local and pan-regional environmental and climatic conditions Central Germany through the Holocene. Carbon isotope and S/Ca and Sr/Ca ratios inform us on local Holocene environmental changes in and around the cave, while δ18O (when combined with independent records) serves as proxy for (pan-)regional atmospheric conditions.
The stable carbon isotope record suggests repeated changes in vegetation density (open vs. dense forest), and increasing forest cover in the late Holocene. Concurrently, decreasing S/Ca values indicate more effective sulfur retention in better developed soils, with a stabilization in the mid-Holocene. This goes in hand with changes in effective summer infiltration, reflected in the Sr/Ca profile. Highest Sr/Ca values between 4 ka and 1 ka BP indicate intensified prior calcite precipitation resulting from reduced effective moisture supply.
The region of Bleßberg Cave is sensitive to shifts of the boundary between maritime (Cfb) and continental (Dfb) climate and ideally suited to reconstruct past meridional shifts of this divide. We combined the Bleßberg Cave δ18O time series with δ18O data from Bunker Cave (western Germany) and a North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) record from lake SS1220 (SW Greenland) to reconstruct the mean position of the Cfb-Dfb climate boundary. We further estimate the dynamic interplay of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Siberian High and their influence on Central European climate. Repeated shifts of the Cfb-Dfb boundary over the last 4000 years might explain previously observed discrepancies between proxy records from Europe. Detailed correlation analyses reveal multi-centennial scale alternations of maritime and continental climate and, concurrently, waning and waxing influences of Siberian High and NAO on Central Europe.
Boers, Niklas; Goswami, Bedartha; Rheinwalt, Aljoscha; Bookhagen, Bodo; Hoskins, Brian; Kurths, Jürgen
Complex networks reveal global pattern of extreme-rainfall teleconnections Journal Article
In: Nature, 2019.
@article{boers2019,
title = {Complex networks reveal global pattern of extreme-rainfall teleconnections},
author = {Niklas Boers and Bedartha Goswami and Aljoscha Rheinwalt and Bodo Bookhagen and Brian Hoskins and Jürgen Kurths },
doi = {10.1038/s41586-018-0872-x},
year = {2019},
date = {2019-01-30},
journal = {Nature},
abstract = {Climatic observables are often correlated across long spatial distances, and extreme events, such as heatwaves or floods, are typically assumed to be related to such teleconnections1,2. Revealing atmospheric teleconnection patterns and understanding their underlying mechanisms is of great importance for weather forecasting in general and extreme-event prediction in particular3,4, especially considering that the characteristics of extreme events have been suggested to change under ongoing anthropogenic climate change5,6,7,8. Here we reveal the global coupling pattern of extreme-rainfall events by applying complex-network methodology to high-resolution satellite data and introducing a technique that corrects for multiple-comparison bias in functional networks. We find that the distance distribution of significant connections (P < 0.005) around the globe decays according to a power law up to distances of about 2,500 kilometres. For longer distances, the probability of significant connections is much higher than expected from the scaling of the power law. We attribute the shorter, power-law-distributed connections to regional weather systems. The longer, super-power-law-distributed connections form a global rainfall teleconnection pattern that is probably controlled by upper-level Rossby waves. We show that extreme-rainfall events in the monsoon systems of south-central Asia, east Asia and Africa are significantly synchronized. Moreover, we uncover concise links between south-central Asia and the European and North American extratropics, as well as the Southern Hemisphere extratropics. Analysis of the atmospheric conditions that lead to these teleconnections confirms Rossby waves as the physical mechanism underlying these global teleconnection patterns and emphasizes their crucial role in dynamical tropical–extratropical couplings. Our results provide insights into the function of Rossby waves in creating stable, global-scale dependencies of extreme-rainfall events, and into the potential predictability of associated natural hazards.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
2018
Heidke, I.; Scholz, D.; Hoffmann, T.
Quantification of lignin oxidation products as vegetation biomarkers in speleothems and cave drip water Journal Article
In: Biogeosciences, vol. 15, pp. 5831-5845, 2018.
@article{heidke2018,
title = {Quantification of lignin oxidation products as vegetation biomarkers in speleothems and cave drip water },
author = {I. Heidke and D. Scholz and T. Hoffmann},
url = {http://quest.pik-potsdam.de/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/heidke_Biogeosc2018.pdf},
doi = {10.5194/bg-15-5831-2018},
year = {2018},
date = {2018-10-04},
journal = {Biogeosciences},
volume = {15},
pages = {5831-5845},
abstract = {Here we present a sensitive method to analyze lignin oxidation products (LOPs) in speleothems and cave drip water to provide a new tool for paleo-vegetation reconstruction. Speleothems are valuable climate archives. However, compared to other terrestrial climate archives, such as lake sediments, speleothems contain very little organic matter. Therefore, very few studies on organic biomarkers in speleothems are available. Our new sensitive method allows us to use LOPs as vegetation biomarkers in speleothems.
Our method consists of acid digestion of the speleothem sample followed by solid-phase extraction (SPE) of the organic matter. The extracted polymeric lignin is degraded in a microwave-assisted alkaline CuO oxidation step to yield monomeric LOPs. The LOPs are extracted via SPE and finally analyzed via ultrahigh-performance liquid chromatography (UHPLC) coupled to electrospray ionization (ESI) and high-resolution Orbitrap mass spectrometry (HRMS). The method was applied to stalagmite samples with a sample size of 3–5g and cave drip water samples with a sample size of 100–200mL from the Herbstlabyrinth-Advent Cave in Germany. In addition, fresh plant samples, soil water, and powdered lignin samples were analyzed for comparison. The concentration of the sum of eight LOPs (Σ8) was in the range of 20–84ng g^{−1} for the stalagmite samples and 230–440ng L^{−1} for the cave drip water samples. The limits of quantification for the individual LOPs ranged from 0.3–8.2ng per sample or 1.5–41.0ng mL^{−1} of the final sample solution.
Our method represents a new and powerful analytical tool for paleo-vegetation studies and has great potential to identify the pathways of lignin incorporation into speleothems.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Our method consists of acid digestion of the speleothem sample followed by solid-phase extraction (SPE) of the organic matter. The extracted polymeric lignin is degraded in a microwave-assisted alkaline CuO oxidation step to yield monomeric LOPs. The LOPs are extracted via SPE and finally analyzed via ultrahigh-performance liquid chromatography (UHPLC) coupled to electrospray ionization (ESI) and high-resolution Orbitrap mass spectrometry (HRMS). The method was applied to stalagmite samples with a sample size of 3–5g and cave drip water samples with a sample size of 100–200mL from the Herbstlabyrinth-Advent Cave in Germany. In addition, fresh plant samples, soil water, and powdered lignin samples were analyzed for comparison. The concentration of the sum of eight LOPs (Σ8) was in the range of 20–84ng g−1 for the stalagmite samples and 230–440ng L−1 for the cave drip water samples. The limits of quantification for the individual LOPs ranged from 0.3–8.2ng per sample or 1.5–41.0ng mL−1 of the final sample solution.
Our method represents a new and powerful analytical tool for paleo-vegetation studies and has great potential to identify the pathways of lignin incorporation into speleothems.
Breitenbach, Sebastian F. M.; Mleneck-Vautravers, Maryline J.; Grauel, Anna-Lena; Lo, Li; Bernasconi, Stefano M.; Müller, Inigo A.; Rolfe, James; Gázquez, Fernando; Greaves, Mervyn; Hodell, David A.
Coupled Mg/Ca and clumped isotope analyses of foraminifera provide consistent water temperatures Journal Article
In: Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, vol. 236, pp. 283-296, 2018.
@article{breitenbach2018,
title = {Coupled Mg/Ca and clumped isotope analyses of foraminifera provide consistent water temperatures},
author = {Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach and Maryline J. Mleneck-Vautravers and Anna-Lena Grauel and Li Lo and Stefano M. Bernasconi and Inigo A. Müller and James Rolfe and Fernando Gázquez and Mervyn Greaves and David A. Hodell},
doi = {10.1016/j.gca.2018.03.010},
year = {2018},
date = {2018-09-01},
journal = {Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta},
volume = {236},
pages = {283-296},
abstract = {The reliable determination of past seawater temperature is fundamental to paleoclimate studies. We test the robustness of two paleotemperature proxies by combining Mg/Ca and clumped isotopes (Δ47) on the same specimens of core top planktonic foraminifera. The strength of this approach is that Mg/Ca and Δ47 are measured on the same specimens of foraminifera, thereby providing two independent estimates of temperature. This replication constitutes a rigorous test of individual methods with the advantage that the same approach can be applied to fossil specimens. Aliquots for Mg/Ca and clumped analyses are treated in the same manner following a modified cleaning procedure of foraminifera for trace element and isotopic analyses. We analysed eight species of planktonic foraminifera from coretop samples over a wide range of temperatures from 2 to 29°C. We provide a new clumped isotope temperature calibrations using subaqueous cave carbonates, which is consistent with recent studies. Tandem Mg/Ca–Δ47 results follow an exponential curve as predicted by temperature calibration equations. Observed deviations from the predicted Mg/Ca-Δ47 relationship are attributed to the effects of Fe-Mn oxide coatings, contamination, or dissolution of foraminiferal tests. This coupled approach provides a high degree of confidence in temperature estimates when Mg/Ca and Δ47 yield concordant results, and can be used to infer the past δ18O of seawater (δ18Osw) for paleoclimate studies.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Gázquez, Fernando; Columbu, Andrea; Waele, Jo De; Breitenbach, Sebastian F. M.; Huang, Ci-Rong; Shen, Chuan-Chou; Lu, Yanbin; Calaforra, José-María; Mleneck-Vautravers, Maryline J.; Hodell, David A.
Quantification of paleo-aquifer changes using clumped isotopes in subaqueous carbonate speleothems Journal Article
In: Chemical Geology, vol. 493, pp. 246-257, 2018.
@article{gazquez2018,
title = {Quantification of paleo-aquifer changes using clumped isotopes in subaqueous carbonate speleothems},
author = {Fernando Gázquez and Andrea Columbu and Jo De Waele and Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach and Ci-Rong Huang and Chuan-Chou Shen and Yanbin Lu and José-María Calaforra and Maryline J. Mleneck-Vautravers and David A. Hodell},
doi = {10.1016/j.chemgeo.2018.05.046},
year = {2018},
date = {2018-08-20},
journal = {Chemical Geology},
volume = {493},
pages = {246-257},
abstract = {Here we track the water-table position and temperature of the Mount San Giovanni aquifer (Iglesiente-Sulcis mining district, SW Sardinia, Italy) during the past 600 ka by determining the ages (U/Th dating) and stable isotope compositions (δ18O, δ13C and Δ47) of a variety of subaqueous carbonate speleothems (e.g. calcite spars, dogtooth calcite crystals and calcite coatings). Clumped isotopes (Δ47) provide quantitative estimates of carbonate formation temperatures (and thus water temperatures) that are independent of the oxygen isotope composition of water (δ18Ow). Then, the δ18Ow of the paleo-water has been reconstructed from the clumped isotope temperature (TΔ47) and the δ18O of the carbonate (δ18Oc). We find that some high-temperature calcite spars formed prior to 600 ka at temperatures above ~120 °C. Lower-temperature spars (~70 °C) precipitated at ~400 ka, and cold-water subaqueous speleothems (~10–20 °C) formed in perched ponds at different levels of the karst systems between 410 ka and 110 ka, while coeval precipitation of subaerial flowstones occurred in the upper level of the shallower caves until 82 ka. We infer that the groundwater level dropped by ~120 m from ~400 to ~250 ka, with a relatively rapid rate of ~0.8 mm/yr. Considering the tectonic stability of Sardinia during the Quaternary, this high rate derives from climate driven geomorphological processes at the surface rather than tectonic uplift. The δ18O values of the paleo-aquifer water range from −6.0 ± 0.7‰ during MIS 5c, and similar to modern cave water values (−5.1‰), to −7.7± 0.4‰ during the colder MIS 8. These values indicate that the groundwater reflected the δ18O signal of meteoric water, with no significant contributions from metasomatic and metamorphic waters. The observed δ18Ow variability can be explained by glacial/interglacial paleoclimate changes affecting rainfall δ18O (and thus groundwater δ18O). We conclude that clumped isotope thermometry on subaqueous carbonate speleothems is a useful tool for tracking paleo-aquifer temperatures and δ18Ow reconstructions.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Eroglu, D.; Marwan, N.; Stebich, M.; Kurths, J.
Multiplex recurrence networks Journal Article
In: Physical Review E, vol. 97, pp. 012312, 2018.
@article{eroglu2018,
title = {Multiplex recurrence networks},
author = {D. Eroglu and N. Marwan and M. Stebich and J. Kurths},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.03309},
doi = {10.1103/PhysRevE.97.012312},
year = {2018},
date = {2018-01-25},
journal = {Physical Review E},
volume = {97},
pages = {012312},
abstract = {We have introduced a multiplex recurrence network approach by combining recurrence networks with the multiplex network approach in order to investigate multivariate time series. The potential use of this approach is demonstrated on coupled map lattices and a typical example from palaeobotany research. In both examples, topological changes in the multiplex recurrence networks allow for the detection of regime changes in their dynamics. The method goes beyond classical interpretation of pollen records by considering the vegetation as a whole and using the intrinsic similarity in the dynamics of the different regional vegetation elements. We find that the different vegetation types behave more similarly when one environmental factor acts as the dominant driving force.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Goswami, B.; Boers, N.; Rheinwalt, A.; Marwan, N.; Heitzig, J.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Kurths, J.
Abrupt transitions in time series with uncertainties Journal Article
In: Nature Communications, vol. 9, pp. 48, 2018.
@article{goswami2018,
title = {Abrupt transitions in time series with uncertainties},
author = {B. Goswami and N. Boers and A. Rheinwalt and N. Marwan and J. Heitzig and S. F. M. Breitenbach and J. Kurths},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-02456-6},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-017-02456-6},
year = {2018},
date = {2018-01-03},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {9},
pages = {48},
abstract = {Identifying abrupt transitions is a key question in various disciplines. Existing transition detection methods, however, do not rigorously account for time series uncertainties, often neglecting them altogether or assuming them to be independent and qualitatively similar. Here, we introduce a novel approach suited to handle uncertainties by representing the time series as a time-ordered sequence of probability density functions. We show how to detect abrupt transitions in such a sequence using the community structure of networks representing probabilities of recurrence. Using our approach, we detect transitions in global stock indices related to well-known periods of politico-economic volatility. We further uncover transitions in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation which coincide with periods of phase locking with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Finally, we provide for the first time an 'uncertainty-aware' framework which validates the hypothesis that ice-rafting events in the North Atlantic during the Holocene were synchronous with a weakened Asian summer monsoon.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Marwan, N.; Eroglu, D.; Ozken, I.; Stemler, T.; Wyrwoll, K. H.; Kurths, J.
Regime change detection in irregularly sampled time series Book Chapter
In: Tsonis, A. (Ed.): Nonlinear Advances in Geosciences, pp. 357–368, Springer, Cham, Switzerland, 2018, ISBN: 978-3-319-58894-0.
@inbook{marwan2018,
title = {Regime change detection in irregularly sampled time series},
author = {N. Marwan and D. Eroglu and I. Ozken and T. Stemler and K. H. Wyrwoll and J. Kurths},
editor = {A. Tsonis},
url = {http://www.springer.com/de/book/9783319588940},
doi = {10.1007/978-3-319-58895-7_18},
isbn = {978-3-319-58894-0},
year = {2018},
date = {2018-01-01},
booktitle = {Nonlinear Advances in Geosciences},
pages = {357–368},
publisher = {Springer},
address = {Cham, Switzerland},
abstract = {Irregular sampling is a common problem in palaeoclimate studies. We propose a method that provides regularly sampled time series and at the same time a difference filtering of the data. The differences between successive time instances are derived by a transformation costs procedure. A subsequent recurrence analysis is used to investigate regime transitions. This approach is applied on speleothem based palaeoclimate proxy data from the Indonesian-Australian monsoon region. We can clearly identify Heinrich events in the palaeoclimate as characteristic changes in the dynamics.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {inbook}
}
2017
Goswami, B.; Schultz, P.; Heinze, B.; Marwan, N.; Bodirsky, B.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Kurths, J.
Inferring interdependencies from short time series Journal Article
In: Indian Academy of Sciences Conference Series, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 51-60, 2017.
@article{goswami2017,
title = {Inferring interdependencies from short time series},
author = {B. Goswami and P. Schultz and B. Heinze and N. Marwan and B. Bodirsky and H. Lotze-Campen and J. Kurths},
url = {http://www.ias.ac.in/article/fulltext/conf/001/01/0051-0060},
doi = {10.29195/iascs.01.01.0021},
year = {2017},
date = {2017-12-01},
journal = {Indian Academy of Sciences Conference Series},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {51-60},
abstract = {Complex networks provide an invaluable framework for the study of interlinked dynamical systems. In many cases, such networks are constructed from observed time series by first estimating the interdependencies between pairs of datasets. However, most of the classic and state-of-the-art interdependence estimation techniques require sufficiently long time series for their successful application. In this study, we present a modification of the inner composition alignment approach (IOTA), correspondingly termed mIOTA, and review its advantages. Using two coupled auto-regressive stochastic processes, we demonstrate the discriminating power of mIOTA and show that it outperforms standard interdependence measures. We then use mIOTA to derive econo-climatic networks of interdependencies between economic indicators and climatic variability for Sub-Saharan Africa (AFR) and South Asia including India (SAS). Our analysis uncovers that crop production in AFR is strongly interdependent with the regional rainfall. While the gross domestic product (GDP) as an economic indicator in AFR is independent of climatic factors, we find that precipitation in the SAS influences the regional GDP, likely reflecting the influence of the summer monsoons. The differences in the interdependence structures between AFR and SAS reflect an underlying structural difference in their overall economies, as well as their agricultural sectors.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Smirnov, D. A.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Feulner, G.; Lechleitner, F. A.; Prufer, K. M.; Baldini, J. U. L.; Marwan, N.; Kurths, J.
A regime shift in the Sun-Climate connection with the end of the Medieval Climate Anomaly Journal Article
In: Scientific Reports, vol. 7, pp. 11131, 2017.
@article{smirnov2017b,
title = {A regime shift in the Sun-Climate connection with the end of the Medieval Climate Anomaly},
author = {D. A. Smirnov and S. F. M. Breitenbach and G. Feulner and F. A. Lechleitner and K. M. Prufer and J. U. L. Baldini and N. Marwan and J. Kurths},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-11340-8},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-017-11340-8},
year = {2017},
date = {2017-09-11},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
volume = {7},
pages = {11131},
abstract = {Understanding the influence of changes in solar activity on Earth’s climate and distinguishing it from other forcings, such as volcanic activity, remains a major challenge for palaeoclimatology. This problem is best approached by investigating how these variables influenced past climate conditions as recorded in high precision paleoclimate archives. In particular, determining if the climate system response to these forcings changes through time is critical. Here we use the Wiener-Granger causality approach along with well-established cross-correlation analysis to investigate the causal relationship between solar activity, volcanic forcing, and climate as reflected in well-established Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) rainfall proxy records from Yok Balum Cave, southern Belize. Our analysis reveals a consistent influence of volcanic activity on regional Central American climate over the last two millennia. However, the coupling between solar variability and local climate varied with time, with a regime shift around 1000–1300 CE after which the solar-climate coupling weakened considerably.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Ritter, A. -C.; Mavromatis, V.; Dietzel, M.; Kwiecien, O.; Wiethoff, F.; Griesshaber, E.; Casella, L. A.; Schmahl, W. W.; Koelen, J.; Neuser, R. D.; Leis, A.; Buhl, D.; Niedermayr, A.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Bernasconi, S. M.; Immenhauser, A.
Exploring the impact of diagenesis on (isotope)geochemical and microstructural alteration features in biogenic aragonite Journal Article
In: Sedimentology, vol. 64, no. 5, pp. 1354-1380, 2017.
@article{ritter2017,
title = {Exploring the impact of diagenesis on (isotope)geochemical and microstructural alteration features in biogenic aragonite},
author = {A.-C. Ritter and V. Mavromatis and M. Dietzel and O. Kwiecien and F. Wiethoff and E. Griesshaber and L. A. Casella and W. W. Schmahl and J. Koelen and R. D. Neuser and A. Leis and D. Buhl and A. Niedermayr and S. F. M. Breitenbach and S. M. Bernasconi and A. Immenhauser},
doi = {10.1111/sed.12356},
year = {2017},
date = {2017-08-01},
journal = {Sedimentology},
volume = {64},
number = {5},
pages = {1354-1380},
abstract = {For the Quaternary and Neogene, aragonitic biogenic and abiogenic carbonates are frequently exploited as archives of their environment. Conversely, pre-Neogene aragonite is often diagenetically altered and calcite archives are studied instead. Nevertheless, the exact sequence of diagenetic processes and products is difficult to disclose from naturally altered material. Here, experiments were performed to understand biogenic aragonite alteration processes and products. Shell subsamples of the bivalve Arctica islandica were exposed to hydrothermal alteration. Thermal boundary conditions were set at 100°C, 175°C and 200°C. These comparably high temperatures were chosen to shorten experimental durations. Subsamples were exposed to different 18O-depleted fluids for durations between two and twenty weeks. Alteration was documented using X-ray diffraction, cathodoluminescence, fluorescence and scanning electron microscopy, as well as conventional and clumped isotope analyses. Experiments performed at 100°C show redistribution and darkening of organic matter, but lack evidence for diagenetic alteration, except in Δ47 which show the effects of annealing processes. At 175°C, valves undergo significant aragonite to calcite transformation and neomorphism. The δ18O signature supports transformation via dissolution and re-precipitation, but isotopic exchange is limited by fluid migration through the subsamples. Individual growth increments in these subsamples exhibit bright orange luminescence. At 200°C, valves are fully transformed to calcite and exhibit purple-blue luminescence with orange bands. The δ18O and Δ47 signatures reveal exchange with the aqueous fluid, whereas δ13C remains unaltered in all experiments, indicating a carbonate-buffered system. Clumped isotope temperatures in high temperature experiments show compositions in broad agreement with the measured temperature. Experimentally-induced alteration patterns are comparable with individual features present in Pleistocene shells. This study represents a significant step towards sequential analysis of diagenetic features in biogenic aragonites and sheds light on reaction times and threshold limits. The limitations of a study restricted to a single test organism are acknowledged and call for refined follow-up experiments.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Lechleitner, A.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Rehfeld, K.; Ridley, H. E.; Asmerom, Y.; Prufer, K. M.; Marwan, N.; Goswami, B.; Kennett, D. J.; Aquino, V. V.; Polyak, V.; Haug, G. H.; Eglinton, T. I.; Baldini, J. U. L.
Tropical rainfall over the last two millennia: evidence for a low-latitude hydrologic seesaw Journal Article
In: Scientific Reports, vol. 7, pp. 45809, 2017.
@article{lechleitner2017,
title = {Tropical rainfall over the last two millennia: evidence for a low-latitude hydrologic seesaw},
author = { A. Lechleitner and S. F. M. Breitenbach and K. Rehfeld and H. E. Ridley and Y. Asmerom and K. M. Prufer and N. Marwan and B. Goswami and D. J. Kennett and V. V. Aquino and V. Polyak and G. H. Haug and T. I. Eglinton and J. U. L. Baldini},
doi = {10.1038/srep45809},
year = {2017},
date = {2017-04-05},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
volume = {7},
pages = {45809},
abstract = {The presence of a low- to mid-latitude interhemispheric hydrologic seesaw is apparent over orbital and glacial-interglacial timescales, but its existence over the most recent past remains unclear. Here we investigate, based on climate proxy reconstructions from both hemispheres, the inter-hemispherical phasing of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and the low- to mid-latitude teleconnections in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 2000 years. A clear feature is a persistent southward shift of the ITCZ during the Little Ice Age until the beginning of the 19th Century. Strong covariation between our new composite ITCZ-stack and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) records reveals a tight coupling between these two synoptic weather and climate phenomena over decadal-to-centennial timescales. This relationship becomes most apparent when comparing two precisely dated, high-resolution paleorainfall records from Belize and Scotland, indicating that the low- to mid-latitude teleconnection was also active over annual-decadal timescales. It is likely a combination of external forcing, i.e., solar and volcanic, and internal feedbacks, that drives the synchronous ITCZ and NAO shifts via energy flux perturbations in the tropics.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Cai, Y.; Chiang, J. C. H.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Tan, L.; Cheng, H.; Edwards, R. L.; An, Z.
Holocene moisture changes in western China, Central Asia, inferred from stalagmites Journal Article
In: Quaternary Science Reviews, vol. 158, pp. 15-28, 2017.
@article{cai2017,
title = {Holocene moisture changes in western China, Central Asia, inferred from stalagmites},
author = {Y. Cai and J. C. H. Chiang and S. F. M. Breitenbach and L. Tan and H. Cheng and R. L. Edwards and Z. An},
doi = {10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.12.014},
year = {2017},
date = {2017-02-15},
journal = {Quaternary Science Reviews},
volume = {158},
pages = {15-28},
abstract = {Central Asia lies at the convergence between the Mediterranean and Asian monsoon climates, and there is a complex interaction between the westerlies with the monsoon to form the climate of that region and its variability. The region is highly vulnerable to changes in rainfall, highlighting the need to understand the underlying controls. We present a stalagmite-based δ18O record from Kesang Cave in western China, using MC-ICP-MS U-series dating and stable isotope analysis. Stalagmite calcite δ18O largely documents changes in the δ18O of precipitation. δ18O in stalagmites was low during the early and middle Holocene (10.0–3.0 ka BP), and shifted to higher values between 3.0 and 2.0 ka BP. After 2.0 ka BP, δ18O fluctuates with distinct centennial-scale variations. Drawing from results of state-of-the-art atmospheric general circulation model simulations for the preindustrial period and 9 ka BP, we propose that changes in moisture source regions and the wetter climate both contributed to the isotopic depletion of precipitation during the early and middle Holocene. Multiple records from surrounding regions indicate a generally wetter climate during the early and mid- Holocene, supporting our interpretation on the speleothem δ18O. Changes in precipitation seasonality do not appear to be a viable explanation for the observed changes, nor increased penetration of monsoonal moisture to the study site. We speculate that the climatic regime shifted around 3.0–2.0 ka BP towards a drier climate, resulting in temperature having dominant control on precipitation δ18O. The demise of three settlements around 500AD at the margin of Tarim Basin coincided with a period of decreased precipitation and increased temperature that likely affected local water resources, underscoring the potential impact of climate on human habitation in this region.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Riechelmann, S.; Schröder-Ritzrau, A.; Spötl, C.; Riechelmann, D. F. C.; Richter, D. K.; Mangini, A.; Frank, N.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Immenhauser, A.
Sensitivity of Bunker Cave to climatic forcings highlighted through multi-annual monitoring of rain-, soil-, and dripwaters Journal Article
In: Chemical Geology, vol. 449, pp. 194-205, 2017.
@article{riechelmann2017,
title = {Sensitivity of Bunker Cave to climatic forcings highlighted through multi-annual monitoring of rain-, soil-, and dripwaters},
author = {S. Riechelmann and A. Schröder-Ritzrau and C. Spötl and D. F. C. Riechelmann and D. K. Richter and A. Mangini and N. Frank and S. F. M. Breitenbach and A. Immenhauser},
doi = {10.1016/j.chemgeo.2016.12.015},
year = {2017},
date = {2017-01-20},
journal = {Chemical Geology},
volume = {449},
pages = {194-205},
abstract = {The last two decades have seen a considerable increase in studies using speleothems as archives of past climate variability. Caves under study are now monitored for a wide range of environmental parameters and results placed in context with speleothem data. The present study investigates trends from a seven year long monitoring of Bunker Cave, northwestern Germany, in order to assess the hydraulic response and transfer time of meteoric water from the surface to the cave. Rain-, soil-, and dripwater were collected from August 2006 to August 2013 at a monthly to bimonthly resolution and their oxygen and hydrogen isotope composition was measured. Furthermore, drip rates were quantified. Due to different drip characteristics, annual mean values were calculated for the drip rates of each drip site. Correlations of the annual mean drip rate of each site with precipitation and infiltration demonstrate that the annual infiltration, and thus the annual precipitation control the inter-annual drip-rate variability for all except one site. The hydraulic response is not delayed on an annual basis. All drip sites display identical long-term trends, which suggests a draining of a common karst reservoir over these seven years of monitoring. Correlations of soil- and dripwater monthly δ18O and δD values with atmospheric temperature data reveal water transfer times of 3 months to reach a depth of 40 cm (soilwater at site BW 2) and 4 months for 70 cm depth (soilwater at site BW 1). Finally, the water reaches the cave chambers (15 to 30 m below land surface) after ca. 2.5 years. Consequently, a temporal offset of 29 to 31 months (ca. 2.5 years) between the hydraulic response time (no time lag on annual basis) and the water transfer time (time lag of 29 to 31 months) was found, which is negligible with regard to Bunker Cave speleothems because of their slow growth rates. Here, proxies recording precipitation/infiltration and temperature are registered on a decadal scale. Variations in drip rate and thus precipitation and infiltration are recorded by δ13C and Mg/Ca ratios in speleothem calcite. Speleothem δ18O values reflect both temperature and precipitation signals due to drip rate-related fractionation processes. We document that long-term patterns in temperature and precipitation are recorded in dripwater patterns of Bunker Cave and that these are linked to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Smirnov, D. A.; Marwan, N.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Lechleitner, F. A.; Kurths, J.
Coping with dating errors in causality estimation Journal Article
In: Europhysics Letter, vol. 117, no. 1, pp. 10004, 2017.
@article{smirnov2017,
title = {Coping with dating errors in causality estimation},
author = {D. A. Smirnov and N. Marwan and S. F. M. Breitenbach and F. A. Lechleitner and J. Kurths},
url = {http://quest.pik-potsdam.de/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/2004.08322.pdf
https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.08322},
doi = {10.1209/0295-5075/117/10004},
year = {2017},
date = {2017-01-01},
journal = {Europhysics Letter},
volume = {117},
number = {1},
pages = {10004},
abstract = {We consider the problem of estimating causal influences between observed processes from time series possibly corrupted by errors in the time variable (dating errors) which are typical in palaeoclimatology, planetary science and astrophysics. "Causality ratio" based on the Wiener-Granger causality is proposed and studied for a paradigmatic class of model systems to reveal conditions under which it correctly indicates directionality of unidirectional coupling. It is argued that in the case of a priori known directionality, the causality ratio allows a characterization of dating errors and observational noise. Finally, we apply the developed approach to palaeoclimatic data and quantify the influence of solar activity on tropical Atlantic climate dynamics over the last two millennia. A stronger solar influence in the first millennium A.D. is inferred. The results also suggest a dating error of about 20 years in the solar proxy time series over the same period.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Weber, Michael; Wassenburg, Jasper A; Jochum, Klaus Peter; Breitenbach, Sebastian F M; Oster, Jessica; Scholz, Denis
Sr-isotope analysis of speleothems by LA-MC-ICP-MS: High temporal resolution and fast data acquisition Journal Article
In: Chemical Geology, vol. 468, no. Supplement C, pp. 63 - 74, 2017, ISSN: 0009-2541.
@article{Weber2017,
title = {Sr-isotope analysis of speleothems by LA-MC-ICP-MS: High temporal resolution and fast data acquisition},
author = {Michael Weber and Jasper A Wassenburg and Klaus Peter Jochum and Sebastian F M Breitenbach and Jessica Oster and Denis Scholz},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0009254117304539},
doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chemgeo.2017.08.012},
issn = {0009-2541},
year = {2017},
date = {2017-01-01},
journal = {Chemical Geology},
volume = {468},
number = {Supplement C},
pages = {63 - 74},
abstract = {Abstract Speleothems are well established climate archives. A wide array of geochemical proxies, including stable isotopes and trace elements are present within speleothems to reconstruct past climate variability. However, each proxy is influenced by multiple factors, often hampering robust interpretation. Sr isotope ratios (87Sr/86Sr) can provide useful information about water residence time and water mixing in the host rock, as they are not fractionated during calcite precipitation. Laser ablation multi-collector-inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (LA-MC-ICP-MS) has rarely been used for determination of Sr isotope signatures in speleothems, as speleothems often do not possess appropriately high concentrations of Sr to facilitate this analysis. Yet the advantages of this approach include rapid data acquisition, higher spatial resolution, larger sample throughput and the absence of chemical treatment prior to analysis. We present LA-MC-ICP-MS Sr isotope data from two speleothems from Morocco (Grotte de Piste) and India (Mawmluh Cave), and we compare linescan and spot analysis ablation techniques along speleothem growth axes. The analytical uncertainty of our LA-MC-ICP-MS Sr data is comparable to studies conducted on other carbonate materials. The results of both ablation techniques are reproducible within analytical error, implying that this technique yields robust results when applied to speleothems. In addition, several comparative measurements of different carbonate reference materials (i.e. MACS-3, JCt-1, JCp-1), including tests with standard bracketing and comparison of the 87Sr/86Sr ratios with a nanosecond laser ablation system and a state-of-the-art femtosecond laser ablation system, highlight the robustness of the method.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
2016
Eroglu, D.; McRobie, F. H.; Ozken, I.; Stemler, T.; Wyrwoll, K. -H.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Marwan, N.; Kurths, J.
See-saw relationship of the Holocene East Asian-Australian summer monsoon Journal Article
In: Nature Communications, vol. 7, pp. 12929, 2016.
@article{eroglu2016,
title = {See-saw relationship of the Holocene East Asian-Australian summer monsoon},
author = {D. Eroglu and F. H. {McRobie} and I. Ozken and T. Stemler and K.-H. Wyrwoll and S. F. M. Breitenbach and N. Marwan and J. Kurths},
url = {http://quest.pik-potsdam.de/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/paper.pdf},
doi = {10.1038/ncomms12929},
year = {2016},
date = {2016-01-01},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {7},
pages = {12929},
abstract = {The East Asian-Indonesian-Australian summer monsoon (EAIASM) links the Earth's hemispheres and provides a heat source that drives global circulation. At seasonal and inter-seasonal timescales, the summer monsoon of one hemisphere is linked via outflows from the winter monsoon of the opposing hemisphere. Long-term phase relationships between the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and the Indonesian-Australian summer monsoon (IASM) are poorly understood, raising questions of long-term adjustments to future greenhouse-triggered climate change and whether these changes could 'lock in' possible IASM and EASM phase relationships in a region dependent on monsoonal rainfall. Here we show that a newly developed nonlinear time series analysis technique allows confident identification of strong versus weak monsoon phases at millennial to sub-centennial timescales. We find a see-saw relationship over the last 9,000 years -- with strong and weak monsoons opposingly phased and triggered by solar variations. Our results provide insights into centennial- to millennial-scale relationships within the wider EAIASM regime.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Lechleitner, F. A.; Baldini, J. U. L.; Breitenbach, S. F. M.; Fohlmeister, J.; McIntyre, C.; Goswami, B.; Jamieson, R. A.; van der Voort, T. S.; Prufer, K.; Marwan, N.; Culleton, B. J.; Kennett, D. J.; Asmerom, Y.; Polyak, V.; Eglinton, T. I.
Hydrological and climatological controls on radiocarbon concentrations in a tropical stalagmite Journal Article
In: Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, vol. 194, pp. 233–252, 2016.
@article{lechleitner2016,
title = {Hydrological and climatological controls on radiocarbon concentrations in a tropical stalagmite},
author = {F. A. Lechleitner and J. U. L. Baldini and S. F. M. Breitenbach and J. Fohlmeister and C. {McIntyre} and B. Goswami and R. A. Jamieson and T. S. {van der Voort} and K. Prufer and N. Marwan and B. J. Culleton and D. J. Kennett and Y. Asmerom and V. Polyak and T. I. Eglinton},
doi = {10.1016/j.gca.2016.08.039},
year = {2016},
date = {2016-01-01},
journal = {Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta},
volume = {194},
pages = {233--252},
abstract = {Precisely-dated stalagmites are increasingly important archives for the reconstruction of terrestrial paleoclimate at very high temporal resolution. In-depth understanding of local conditions at the cave site and of the processes driving stalagmite deposition is of paramount importance for interpreting proxy signals incorporated in stalagmite carbonate. Here we present a sub-decadally resolved dead carbon fraction (DCF) record for a stalagmite from Yok Balum Cave (southern Belize). The record is coupled to parallel stable carbon isotope (δ13C) and U/Ca measurements, as well as radiocarbon (14C) measurements from soils overlying the cave system. Using a karst carbon cycle model we disentangle the importance of soil and karst processes on stalagmite DCF incorporation, revealing a dominant host rock dissolution control on total DCF. Covariation between DCF, δ13C, and U/Ca indicates that karst processes are a common driver of all three parameters, suggesting possible use of δ13C and trace element ratios to independently quantify DCF variability. A statistically significant multi-decadal lag of variable length exists between DCF and reconstructed solar activity, suggesting that solar activity influenced regional precipitation in Mesoamerica over the past 1500 years, but that the relationship was non-static. Although the precise nature of the observed lag is unclear, solar-induced changes in North Atlantic oceanic and atmospheric dynamics may play a role.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}